On July 19, 2010 at 21:54, Fins said...
People said the same about K-Mart, Sears & Roebuck, Circuit City, IBM typewriters, and the U.S. Whip Company.
Circuit had systemic problems (like very bad real estate deals and worse investments) that would have crippled the company even if they had been more successful.
IBM Typewriters never really tried to evolved, so they died. No surprise there.
Sears/K-Mart is not the powerhouse it once was, but both are still strong brands. The financials have been better, but neither seem to be on the verge of closing the doors.
With the growth of Amazon and Target Wal-Mart is even showing some signs of falling from the number one spot. The public has a short attention span, and as soon as something else gets their attention, they move on. Middle class shoppers are becoming turned off on Wal-Mart and looking for nicer places to shop. But Wal-Mart has buying power that no one else can compete with. Its a a competition that doesnt have enough info yet to see how it will play out. But history leans towards the argument that even Wal-Mart wont be number one for ever.
This may be. But falling a few spaces on the list of top retailers and closing are two different things.
This would support that BB also has limited time. Add in that Wal-Mart is working hard to stay alive by taking BB's in store shoppers, and Amazon and Newegg are quickly taking their small item (I mean size, not price) customers, then it only looks worse. Do you realize that for $80 a year you get free 2 day shipping on everything from Amazon? For $4 per item you can get it next day. For less than the sales tax on most purchases, you can get next day shipping.
Do you realize that Amazon's total annual sales for 2009 was $24.5 billion (that's everything they sell), and Newegg's annual revenue for the same period was $2.1 billion? Both great companies, but Newegg is barely on the radar for established retailers. And Amazon is growing very fast, but its still a drop in the bucket compared to Wal-Mart ($405 billion annually) and is still about a decade away from Target at current growth rates ($65 billion annually).
Revenue is certainly not the only measure of a company. But Best Buy, Target, and Wal-Mart all have strong brands and growing revenues. They may downsize, or change positions in the rankings, but I don't think any off them will be closing down any time soon. Wal-Mart may never fail as a company. Its just that big.
Unless Best Buy can figure out some major makeover, they are done. The question is just when will the doors get locked.
I'm no analyst, but I don't think the numbers support this statement. At least not any time soon.