Until I can determine that there is a clear cut winner I won't buy either.
well that has happened
That's what I'm trying to avoid. Having a player and movies that fall along the lines of Betamax in a few years.
my estimate is that at this point in time and the info that is available BD has an 80% chance of becoming main stream.
PS so at this point in time I would think it a safe bet, not to mention that once you do get a BD player you will kick yourself for not doing it earlier.