When many were concerned about the projections being peddled by Neil Ferguson's Imperial College report, I suggested we be cautious. Panic nonetheless ensued, and many elderly folks died as a consequence.

We then discovered that Ferguson had an unenviable record of failure and that the computer code he used was 13 years old and riddled with bugs. Several months later, he was sacked, though not for incompetence but for breaking lockdown rules. Several more months down the road, we learnt he was back in the fold and peddling more doomsday projections.

At this point, I gave up. Like Malcolm Kendrick [1], I believe the issue has become so politicised it's almost impossible to sift fact from fiction - particularly when even the highly respected BMJ falls victim to Facebook's fact-checkers [2].

That said, I recently came across this article [3], which I think is worth a read.

[1] [Link: drmalcolmkendrick.org]
[2] [Link: wattsupwiththat.com]
[3] [Link: juliusruechel.com]